- Whale lost $17M on OM, signaling potential market capitulation
- 81% of holders seemed to be in losses as whales began some form of subtle accumulation
A whale is in the news today after he realized a staggering $17 million loss after withdrawing 2.9 million OM from Binance at $6.46, and later returning just 1.72 million OM worth $1 million. This massive dump shocked the market and underscored the brutal impact of poor entry timing in highly volatile conditions.
The size of the loss has raised concerns about broader sentiment and potential aftershocks among other large holders. Mantra [OM], at press time, was trading at $0.5082, following a 13.61% decline on the charts.
Most OM holders are deep in unrealized losses
According to the Global in/out of the money model, 81.43% of OM addresses are now holding at a loss. Only 6.45% remain in profit, while 12.12% of wallets are at breakeven. This revealed that a vast majority of participants might be trapped in negative positions. The overwhelming loss concentration only adds immense pressure to the market.
However, this also means that most panic-driven exits may have already taken place. If the remaining sellers are flushed out and the support holds, the set-up could favor an upside reaction from oversold conditions.
Source: IntoTheBlock
Whales stir and traders pile in – Is OM ready to bounce?
Following the $17 million loss by a major whale, on-chain activity revealed signs of quiet re-entry among large holders. In fact, large transaction volume has ticked up by 2.64%, hinting at early-stage accumulation as opportunistic players take advantage of the steep dip.
While the hike seemed modest, it might hint at a subtle shift in sentiment among deep-pocketed participants. If this trend continues, it could strengthen OM’s base and cushion further downside.
Source: IntoTheBlock
Meanwhile, traders in the derivatives market have been showing an aggressive bullish bias. Data from Binance revealed that 70.62% of accounts are long on OM, with only 29.38% positioned short. The resulting long/short ratio of 2.40 indicated high conviction for a rebound.
However, such positioning also raises downside risk if momentum fails to follow through.
Overcrowded long trades may trigger cascading liquidations if OM faces renewed weakness. Therefore, while whales and traders might be leaning bullish, the market will remain vulnerable to quick swings if optimism overextends itself too early.
Leverage cools down as shorts hold ground
Open Interest fell by 2.05%, with the same standing at $125.62 million at press time.
This slight drop suggested that traders may be beginning to reduce exposure. At the same time, the funding rate was mildly negative at -0.0078%. This implied that short positions are still dominating market sentiment.
Source: Coinglass
While leverage across the board is trimming down, shorts have not completely stepped back. This keeps OM’s near-term outlook mixed.
Any directional move will need to be supported by stronger conviction from either side.
Conclusion
OM is sitting at a key turning point right now. Everything seems to be pointing to a market on edge. However, long-biased traders, reduced leverage, and a modest pickup in large transactions may offer early signs of strength.
If selling slows and accumulation grows, OM could pivot from capitulation to recovery. Therefore, while the road remains uncertain, conditions may align for a potential bounce.
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